RMSE Comparison
Same start and end point. Direct = one-shot prediction. Chain = autoregressive with intermediate steps.
| Method | Steps | SSH RMSE | u RMSE | v RMSE | Mean RMSE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct (lead=119) | 1 | 0.1550 m | 0.0775 m/s | 0.0700 m/s | 0.1008 |
| Chain (step=7d, 17 steps) | 17 | 0.1381 m | 0.0830 m/s | 0.0844 m/s | 0.1018 |
| Chain (step=14d, 9 steps) | 9 | 0.2040 m | 0.0871 m/s | 0.0950 m/s | 0.1287 |
| Chain (step=21d, 6 steps) | 6 | 0.1563 m | 0.0750 m/s | 0.0820 m/s | 0.1044 |
| Persistence | 0 | 0.1736 m | 0.0827 m/s | 0.0796 m/s | 0.1119 |
